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An Albertan Delusion

de·lu·sion

dəˈlo͞oZHən/

noun

  1. an idiosyncratic belief or impression that is firmly maintained despite being contradicted by what is generally accepted as reality or rational argument, typically a symptom of mental disorder.

We have all heard:

“The NDP have ruined Alberta”
“The NDP have scared off investment”
“The NDP are taxing us to death”
“The NDP are spending too much”
“The NDP don’t do anything to help Albertans”

Albertans have fell victim to 21st century propaganda that has taken root in our social media. Living in today’s world with limitless information at our fingertips one would hope for an informed population. Unfortunately this is not the case as most of our content is created to invoke an emotional response. This results in people attaching themselves to an idea, or identifying themselves into a category such as liberal or conservative. It leaves no room for open discussion and critical thought on important issues that should not have a bias. Instead of collaboration we have “us vs them” or “left vs right” type of arguments that lead no where.

 

“The NDP have ruined Alberta”

This has been the anthem of people who oppose the Alberta government. People say how bad our debt is and that the NDP are ruining our province. In the image below you will see that for the past 68 years Alberta has experienced a fiscal gap. Which means we are spending more than we take in.

The following three graphs show what happened with oil before the NDP were elected.

oilpricefrackingcrashoil orders

Now our economy is on track to pre-recession levels.
 
ABeconomy2010-2018

This recession has been handled fairly well compared to past recessions.

employment rates across other recessions

Employment is reaching pre-recession norms.

Employmentrate

The GDP growth in Alberta is leading all provinces across Alberta and most of the world.

gdpgrowth2017

The net debt to GDP ratio in Alberta is the lowest across the provinces and most of the world.

netDebt to GDP

The peak in retail sales is higher than before the recession.

retailsales
Manufacturing is also seeing strong growth.

ManufacturingSales
Time and time again since the last provincial election I have heard people tout Saskatchewan as the new holy grail. It must not be the holy grail some thought it was. This chart shows a large number of people flocking to Alberta from all across Canada, including Saskatchewan.

pop changes to and from AB

It’s important to remember why we fell into a recession so unprepared. Previous governments have failed to reward Albertans with the spoils of their extracted resources. A 15 billion dollar loss in the 6 years leading up to 2015 triggered a Royalty Review. Here is an outlook on what the Heritage fund would look like if we used Norway’s formula(which was derived from our original framework) for rewarding Norwegians with their share of the extracted resources.

Heritage fund failure


“The NDP have scared off investment”

One may remember the royalty review. Opponents of the new Alberta government were hooting and hollering about scaring off investment. The newly elected NDP government was quick to announce that no changes would be made to the royalty framework until 2017. Unfortunately, when it came to the opposition, this fell on deaf ears.

Recently leader of the official opposition, Jason Kenney, took a trip to India. “Kenney also appeared to reverse himself on a core criticism of Notley’s government. He has said that Alberta’s tax system, particularly the carbon tax, is counterproductive and undermining investment, but in India he told a TV reporter that Alberta is a prime spot for investment because of many factors, including low taxes”(source)

While investment is still low in comparison to 2014, it’s not sitting too far below the average. It may not look pretty but if you look at the list of projects going on in Alberta you would see there is still life.

amCharts (4)


“The NDP are taxing us to
death”

After the NDP were elected they quickly started implementing their platform. Small businesses saw a tax decrease from 3% to 2% and received additional tax incentives. Corporate taxes went from 10% to 12% and the government also added to our existing Carbon Tax system. Personal taxes were changed to a progressive system which lead to increases on incomes over $125 000 a year. After the dust settles, most Albertans still pay the lowest taxes across Canada. The chart below shows the CT rebate program.

CTfigures

 

“While Albertans making $25,000 a year pay the least income tax in the country, the picture changes as you approach $50,000.

At that level, Albertans pay more than both Ontarians and British Columbians.

The gap between Alberta and B.C. grows as you approach $75,000. At that point, Albertans pay about $1,200 more in provincial income tax than their neighbours to the west.

Around $100,000, Albertans pay less than Ontarians but still more than people in B.C.

(For those interested in the nitty-gritty details, these calculations include both the high-income surtax and the health premiums charged in Ontario as part of the income-tax system. They do not include Medical Services Plan premiums in B.C., which are collected separately.)

It’s around the $150,000 mark that Alberta returns to the lowest income-tax burden of all provinces. And its lead grows from there.

If you earn $250,000 a year, you’ll pay about $4,000 less in Alberta than in B.C. — and about $18,000 less than in Quebec.”(source)
75ktaxesacrosscanada

There has been a fair argument for a restructure of our tax system. Below is what our revenues would look like under other provinces. Makes one wonder if we would still have the same argument over cutting services to manage our debt. 

“The NDP are spending too much” 

After 68 years of spending more then our revenue, one would assume we spend too much. Though after looking at the image above, it appears we have a revenue problem. Many Albertans have different opinions about how much we spend on services such as health care compared to other provinces. The opposition has hinted to cutting up to 10 billion dollars from our budget. We will be unlikely to find 10 billion dollars in inefficiencies within our budget which means we will have to make cuts to services. These cuts could result in over crowded hospitals and schools which are a problem that we don’t need to make worse.

AB financial flows

The current government has been catching up on Alberta’s infrastructure debt which has been a large amount of spending. The good thing about this investment into our infrastructure is that we improve services all while creating constructions jobs as well as long term jobs after projects complete. This provided much needed stimulation to our flat economy.

 

“The NDP don’t do anything to help Albertans” 

“In 2016 An NDP member of Parliament introduced a private member’s bill to extend the maximum number of weeks to 50 from 15 and eliminate a two-week waiting period for those with serious illnesses and injuries.

All NDP and Liberal MPs voted in favour of the bill, but with Conservative members opposing it, it failed to pass”(Source).


People have been putting together lists of things the NDP has done for Albertans since elected. It’s incredible to see a government that has followed through on so many campaign promises. When it comes to listening to Albertans, the Alberta government has been doing a good job. They held town halls for Bill 6, surveys for our school curriculum, survey for budget, and the list goes on.


Often around social media you can see the discourse around minimum wage. Statistics show raising minimum wage in Alberta has negligible impact on jobs. 

“In 2016, with the provincial economy still in recession, Alberta’s accommodation and food service sector, and wholesale and retail trade sector, where low-wage jobs are concentrated, added 7,600 jobs. In 2017, these two sectors added a further 17,400 jobs, for a total increase of 25,000 jobs across the two sectors in the last two years. These jobs were created despite the minimum wage increasing 33 per cent from 2015 to 2017.”(source)

minimumwage

In conclusion, it is important to find as much information about issues around politics. There are paid contractors who use bots to manipulate public opinion using social media. Anytime you click something on social media, an algorithm will automatically start showing you more of that content. What ends up happening is you get stuck in a bubble only seeing information from one side of the story. Using multiple news/media outlets is very important when researching the issues that follow politics which can greatly impact our lives. When we have the answer to just about any question sitting in our pocket, there is no reason to live in ignorance.

*Puts down the partisan Mjölnir

Alberta Government asking for Albertans to Wigh in

The AB government went to war with BC over the trans mountain pipeline expansion.

After the introduction of Bill 6.

The province is asking for input as it moves forward with a plan to improve the training, testing and oversight of all drivers, particularly those in the commercial trucking industry.

Leading up to the release of Budget 2018, Albertans across the province were invited to provide their feedback and identify the issues that matter most to them.

Education Minister David Eggen wants the general public to weigh in on guidelines to combat racism and promote diversity in schools.

Albertans are being asked to provide feedback on what students will learn as part of the government’s second curriculum survey.

Albertans are invited to provide feedback on new draft rules to improve condo living.

The province is engaging with business leaders on ways to create a fair marketplace for buyers and sellers.

Albertans are invited to six new open house sessions to give input on key consumer issues.

Albertans are being asked to share their opinions and experiences with payday loans through an online survey.

NDP Accomplishments

Alberta NDP highlights:
– banned corporate and union donations.
– brought farm safety up to code long overdue and in line with every other employer in Alberta by passing Bill 6(matching safety laws across the country).
– increased corporate tax from 10% to 12%. Less corporate welfare and only applies to profits.
-lowered small business tax by 1% in 2017 so 10% LESS.
– reviewed royalties like everyone asked and basically left them alone.
– $6.2 billion for energy jobs through the carbon tax program. Another $3.4 billion for rebates. Farms are exempt and large emitters like oil sands are exempt and flight out of Alberta are exempt.
– progressive tax system vs flat tax. Still lowest taxes in Canada and lower than Klein era.
– $35 billion in infrastructure jobs over next 5 years underway. Creating jobs we asked for and need.
– left our healthcare intact and no $1000 yearly fees like the PCs wanted.
– reversed planned PC govt. funding cuts to education, healthcare and public services.
– added 2 big royalty incentives for drillers that take effect immediately.
– added beer tax and grant to protect Alberta small brewers. Later added local distilleries and wineries to the deal.
– progressively raising minimum wage to $15/hr lifting people out of poverty.
– tore up the federal leap manifesto.
– added Alberta jobs grant. Alberta pays 2/3rds of any employees training up to $10,000 per individual.
– suing private power companies who colluded and made a secret deal.
– fired the entire board of agriculture financial services after ridiculous spending was discovered.
– passed transgender rights bill.
– passed essential services legislation. Allows strikes and lockouts by public sector workers, while still requiring ‘essential’ public services to be available to the general public during such labour disruptions.
– passed the SHARP program to provide home equity loans to seniors to help repair and stay in their homes.
– added public servants to the sunshine list for earners over $125,000.
– amended school bargaining by adding an employer bargaining association.
– added new rule that allows victims of violence to end their leases early without penalty to leave an unsafe home.
– froze post secondary tuition and fees for two years.
– passed the predatory lending act.
– Payday lending: Stopped 600 percent predatory interest rates on payday loans to prevent Albertans from spiraling into poverty. Alberta now has the country’s strongest protections and lowest interest rates for borrowers.
– Door-to-door sales: Prohibited misleading, aggressive sales tactics by banning door-to-door sales of energy products and services, including furnaces, hot water tanks, air conditioners, windows, energy audits and electricity and natural gas contracts.
– Electricity price cap: Introduced a price cap to make life more affordable and ensure electricity bills are fair.
– New home buyer protection: Introduced a builder licensing framework to protect consumers as well as the reputation of good builders.
– extended bars patio hours.
– $239 million for provincial park upgrades.
– spent $647 million fighting Ft Mac fire and getting residence extended EI.
– said no support to Trudeau carbon tax without coastal pipeline concessions.
– fixed the Klein power contracts and worked out a very good deal to phase out coal plants and convert them to ng. Costing us nothing. They get paid through a pay structure that uses the money they pay as emissions to buy them out.
– added grant program for non profits so they don’t pay carbon tax.
– protected the castle wilderness area by creating a provincial park and limiting off-highway vehicles (ohv) use.
– cut CEO pay, bonuses and perks at 23 Alberta corps, agencies and commissions saving $16 million a year. Under the new framework, Guy Kerr, CEO of the Workers’ Compensation Board, will earn $396,720 instead of $896,206.
NDP Government continues to demonstrate progress on its commitment to invest in Albertans. As of Nov. 30, 2016, there were 324 major capital projects ($5 million or more) underway in Alberta including: 
– Parkdale: one of 40 Seniors and Housing projects
– 40 Affordable Supportive Living Initiative projects
– 23 road and bridge projects
– 22 major health facilities projects
– 9 post-secondary projects
– Calgary Cross Cancer Center
– New hospital in Edmonton
– Red Deer Courthouse
– Red Deer Interchange QE II
– $10 million for nutrition program for all schools.
– added 1296 daycare openings across the province at $25/day. Creating 119 jobs for this pilot project. Fulfilling another promise.
– NDP working alongside the Federal Liberals created the 24-month pilot program in Alberta which will stop the use of TFWS in 29 skilled positions in Alberta.
– passed Bill 202 a Wildrose Bill that allows people to sue for posting sex pics etc.
– passed off-highway vehicles (ohv) helmet law May 15th 2017.
– passed Bill 12 requires new home builders to be licensed and govt. posts their track record etc for consumers by 2018.
– grant of $500,000 will go toward the Trade Winds to Success Training Society’s 16-week pre-apprenticeship program.
– spending 10 million on the integrated training program which will add 11 new job training programs for unemployed Albertans.
– $16.4 million over 4 years towards dual credit programs for highschool kids.
– STEP is a 4 to 16 week wage subsidy program available to summer student jobs. Budget 2017 has $10 million budgeted for STEP. Companies get a $7/hr wage subsidy.
– spent 10 million to fix Calgary’s bobsled track.
– $235 million loaned out to help clean up abandoned oil wells.
– passed Bill 17 improving labor laws. – $20 million over 4 yrs for school playgrounds.
– $1.7 million to upgrade provinces homeless facilities.
– added the micro grant program in January of 2017 and then doubled the grant in June 2017. Small businesses can get $10,000 voucher to help with overseas marketing.
– June 2017 NDP fires agriculture boards for corruption and taking bribes and gifts.
– July 2017 $665,000 grant to the Canadian Indigenous Language and Literacy Development Institute will help enhance Indigenous language acquisition for Alberta students by ensuring instructors can acquire training and certification.
– July 2017 NDP provides universal coverage for Mifegymiso. Ergo, supporting greater choice for women when it comes to their reproductive health.
– August 2017 $450K grant to help Hanna amid coal phase-out.
-September 2017:
– 53 school projects opening for Alberta students
– approximately 21,600 new student spaces created
– more than 15,000 student spaces modernized or replaced
October to December 2017:
– 9 school projects scheduled to open for students
– more than 1500 new student spaces to be created
– approximately 4800 to be modernized or replaced
January to April 2018:
– 13 school projects scheduled to open for students
– almost 8000 new student spaces to be created
– approximately 1800 to be modernized or replaced
Credit to Scott Crichton.
Alberta projects under NDP:
-Amazon center in Balzac
-Edmonton soccer center
-Crowchild trail ph 1 interchange
-Red Deer hwy 2 interchange
-Edmonton LRT expansion.
-Banff hotel reno
-Capital Care Center Norwood
-hwy 40 improvements
-2 new facilities at the royal alec.
-Lethbridge College trades center
-Grant Mac Allard hall
-Mill Creek school
-Westjet hanger
-potato process plant
-Walterdale bridge
-Edmonton ice district stadium
-Misracordia hospital emergency room.
-Eau Clair redevelopment
-20,000sqft trucker training hub
-hwy 1a and bkwfort rd const.
-Edmonton planetarium theatre
-Camsell hospital.
-Cross cancer center hospital.
-Red Deer courthouse
-restarted Cenovus Christina Lake phase g.
-restarted Canadian Natural Kirby north.
-Jacos Hangingstone restarted.
-Sunshine oilsands west ells ph 1 and 2.
-kosh/pengrowth selina jv 2018.
-lindburg sagd optimization ph 2.
-telephone lake sagd ph1.
-Fort Hills mine.
-Horizon oilsands ph2a, 2b and 3.
-devon canada mine.
-blackpearls blackrod project.
-surmonts wildwood project.
-Husky energy saleski.
-ab and cnrl nwr refinery.
-air products hydrogen plant.
-Alberta carbon trunk pipeline.
-Atco energy salt cavern storage.
-Atco power heartland generation station.
-Atco power strathcona cogeneration plant.
-Enbridge norlite pipeline.
-interpipeline pdh and pp facility.
-Keyera salt cavern.
-maxim power corp ng powee plant.
-Pembina pipeline canadian diluent hub.
-Pembina pipeline rfs3
-plains midstream ngl fractionation expansion.
-transcanada grand rapids pipeline.
-transcanada tc terminals.
-pinnacle renewable energy wood pellet plant in entwistle.
-Calgary green line north lrt.
-sasol lgl refinery ph1.
-meg energy may river insitu project.
-Keystone xl hardisty hub.
-petrox resources gascana lng project.
-suncors 40 mile wind and solar project, shuler wind and solar farm project and hand hills solar and wind farm.
-alberta wind energy corp windy point wind farm.
-edf en canada cypress wind farm.
-power renuable energy corp jenner wind power project.
-welsch wind power project.
-enmax zephyr wind farm
-enbridge and edf en blackspring ridge wind farm.
-blue earth renewables burdett solar farm project.
-alberta govt lethbridge farm center solar project.
-edf en vulcan solar energy project.  Western canadas largest solar project.
-enbridge line 3 pipeline replacement.  The largest project in enbridges history.
-green acres solar farm.
-sylvan lake urgent care center.
-sundre longterm care center.
-chevron and kuwait petroleum corps Duverny shale basin projects.
-huskey energy’s mcmullen creek css project.
-$20 million alberta beef deal with china potentially leading to more.
-Capital Power, which will build the 201-megawatt Whitla Wind project 60 kilometres southwest of Medicine Hat.
-EDP Renewables Canada Ltd., which will build a 248-megawatt wind farm at their Sharp Hills project east of Hanna, roughly 50 kilometres north of Oyen.
-Enel Green Power North America, Inc., which will build two projects – the 115-megawatt Riverview Wind Farm and the 31-megawatt Phase 2 of Castle Rock Ridge Wind Power Plant just outside of Pincher Creek.
-inter pipeline ltd 3.5billion propane to plastic plant in Ab.  First of its kind.
-Imperial oils debottleneck project kerl lake.
-altagas Ridley Export Terminal.
-tidewater midstream montney liquids gas plant in grande praire.
-South Korean owned blackgold sagd project in ft mac restarted dec 2017.
-grande cache coal surface and underground metalurgical coal mine reopened.  Jan 2018.

The Age of Information

Yet again, the boom and bust cycle continues.
Albertans are losing their jobs, their homes and their mental stability. More than ever, we need cooperation and unity from our political leaders. We need our leaders to stop these divisive attacks, consequently siding Albertans against each other.
All parties are guilty of this.
The conservative groups have been quite hostile. Which in turn brings out right wing extremists, threatening Notley’s life. Left wing groups are not innocent either, Brian Jean’s sarcastic jab at Notley was blown out of proportion – there is no way he actually meant he wants to physically hit her.
These groups spread misinformation causing further division and hate between Albertans. These are times to be united, Alberta Strong! Not divided, weak and full of anger.
Albertans need to drop their political identities. We need to stop letting these parties decide how we think and what issues are important to us. It’s time to get informed. Read multiple sources on events and look into who is reporting the event and who owns the media source. The vast amount of information available to us is almost overwhelming.
What is real? What’s fabricated? What’s the agenda being pushed forward? Who is financing this movement? These are all questions we need to start asking.
Journalism in itself is in danger. With the availability of free news, paid journalism is almost a thing of the past. Which is watering down the integrity of the information being reported. While many quality journalists still exist, we are at risk of being spoon fed biased and misrepresented information to please sponsors. The time has come for everyone to become socially active in combating misinformation.
Many people don’t have the time and patience to dig through information. Help these people, provide sources, provide alternative views on discussion topics, but don’t forge their opinion for them.
On a daily basis, I see completely false or extremely misleading memes, rants and articles being shared on social media. How many times have you come across something shared stating that refugees get more from the government than our pensioners? The government of Canada had to make a Web page to explain how this statement is false and a misinterpretation of data. It is time to stop being ignorant in the age of information.